{"absence_criteria":{"coverage_requires":{"document":"McDonald's Q3 2026 earnings release (8-K ex. 99.1)","period":"2026-Q3","section":"COMPARABLE SALES"},"registro":"nota de resultados del 3T-2026 de McDonald's (8-K ex. 99.1, SEC EDGAR CIK 63908) y transcripcion de la call"},"claim_type":"fenomeno","confirm_rule":{"op":"<","value":0},"due":"2026-11-15","evaluation_cutoff":"2026-12-15","evidence_ids":["OBS-2026-0913-034","OBS-A6-mcd-guest-counts-q2","OBS-E0923-mcd-ceo-sale","OBS-E0923-mcd-next-support"],"expected_publication":"2026-11-05","if_absent":"no_publicada","intermedio":"inconclusa","lag_days_max":10,"metric":{"definition":"signo de los comparable guest counts de McDonald's EE.UU. del 3T-2026 tal como lo escribe la nota de resultados (MCD no publica la cifra, solo la direccion)","id":"mcd.us_guest_counts","revision_policy":"primera_publicacion","source_id":"SRC-mcd-ir","unit":"signo (-1 negativo, 0 plano o sin cambio, +1 positivo)"},"period_required":"2026-Q3","prob":0.6,"refute_if":"mcd.us_guest_counts >= 0","refute_rule":{"op":">=","value":0},"resolution_source":"SRC-mcd-ir","rivals_compared":[{"motivo":"la rival de reparto habla de Starbucks y es compatible con clientes negativos en MCD: no la separa","predice_F":"si","rival_id":"HYP-E0923-rival-reparto"},{"motivo":"la rival macro tambien predice guest counts negativos en MCD EE.UU.: no la separa (la separa el par SBUX > 0 / MCD < 0, no MCD solo)","predice_F":"si","rival_id":"HYP-2026-0912-003"}],"threshold":"< 0","threshold_direction":null,"ticker_or_theme":"MCD","window_from":"2026-10-20"}